Novo Forecast Enterprise forecasting system integration into HATBER-M operational processes

About Hatber-M

HATBER-M (founded in 1996) is the leading Russian company in the production of stationery and paper goods for school: notebooks, albums, diaries, sketchpads, school backpacks and bags, stationery. The range of the company's own products includes more than 7000 items, while the annual turnover exceeds 18 thousand tons. The company supplies products throughout Russia. The company's strategic customers are Russian Post, Magnit, Auchan, X5 Retail Group, Detsky Mir, FIX Price, METRO and other national retailers.

Implementation effects

In 2016, the company decided to introduce an automated system for sales and stock planning in order to improve production and sales cycle management. As a result, HATBER-M opted for the Novo Forecast Enterprise product by Novo BI.

"We were looking for a supplier of an effective forecasting solution, who would be able to integrate this technology into the company's production processes," says Mikhail Volevich, HATBER-M Chief Operating Officer. "A high percentage of our products have a limited life cycle, for example, calendars. Traditional forecasting methods do not work there."

"Novo Forecast Enterprise functionality, which automatically creates forecasting groups to improve forecast accuracy at the SKU level, perfectly met our needs. I also appreciated the system's ability to automatically select the most accurate mathematical model for each forecasting group."

Mikhail Volevich, HATBER-M Chief Operating Officer

The system operation in 2017-2018 resulted in finding right solutions to the tasks: out-of-stock situations have reduced by 70%, surplus stock has minimized, improved accuracy and timeliness of production orders has led to significant savings. "We plan to continue using the system on a regular basis, as well as expanding and developing its functionality. I would like to thank my colleagues for such a good product and its implementation within the agreed time frame," concludes Mikhail Volevich.

Uvelka finds new business growth directions with the help of Qlik Sense

About Uvelka

Uvelka is one of the largest Russian companies in the cereals market. The company's brand is widely known not only in the Russian Federation but also in 25 countries around the world. Its products are sold in more than 96 thousand retail outlets across the country – super- and hypermarkets of national and regional retailers, as well as.

The company has been producing tasty and healthy cereal products that are easy in preparation for every day and provide families with good and healthy eating for more than 25 years.

Implementation effects

"Our cooperation with Uvelka began with an interesting project – retail sales analysis based on the Qlik Sense platform," says Alexey Baturin, Novo BI CEO.

As a result, Uvelka employees received the opportunity to quickly monitor and thoroughly analyze large amounts of information on retail sales:

  • Product range analysis, a ranking of products;
  • Price and price brackets analysis, price elasticity estimation;
  • Sales pattern and sales geography analysis;
  • Promotion analysis and the impact of promotions on key sales metrics;
  • Analysis of sales regularity, product life-cycle, retail outlets, retail chains.

“Now we have new analysis models, metrics and scenarios that we did not work with before. The application allowed us to take a fresh look at the sales and our position in the market, as well as to see opportunities for growth."

Vitaly Vladimirovich Zyablin, Uvelka CEO

"Then we came to understand that we need a more comprehensive view on sales and marketing, as well as their analysis," says Sergey Kirpichenko. "Novo BI specialists offered us a number of solutions:

  • Secondary sales analysis
  • Joint analysis of primary and secondary sales
  • Growth potential estimation, automation of task assignment to sales staff, and recommendations on introducing new items at the level of distributors and outlets
  • Expanded promotion analysis – trade and BTL
  • Expanded analysis of retail sales taking into account promotions and loyalty cards data
  • Expanded sales analysis – Nielsen solution for retail audit data processing, storage, and visual analysis" 

All solutions have been successfully implemented and today serve as one of the main tools for sales and marketing departments, as well as for Uvelka management.

SERVER Trading House: procurement and sales process optimization on the Qlik Sense platform

About Server

Server Trading House supplies materials and components for modular furniture production. Throughout its existence, Server Trading House has become one of the largest suppliers for several hundred furniture manufacturers in most Russian regions.

The product range of the company consists of more than 5000 items, from chipboard to fasteners, and includes materials and components necessary for modular furniture production.

Implementation effects

The company decided to adopt modern analytical technologies. Server Trading House opted for Novo BI company for two reasons: the company's specialists have extensive experience in the field and offer systems based on the Qlik Sense modern analytics platform.

The project meant to ensure: 

  • The increase in sales planning accuracy;
  • High level of product availability for customers, while controlling stocks and losses;
  • The increase in logistics and procurement efficiency, with the increasing number of commodity items;
  • Real-time data transparency across the supply chain.

The use of Qlik Sense allowed to merge data from different sources and create Decision-making Center, single analytics and monitoring center for all employees of Server Trading House.

Within the project, the following solutions have been implemented: 

  • Sales plan analysis;
  • ABC-analysis with the possibility to adjust parameters;
  • Analysis and comparison of prices, goods in transit, future balances, and prices by item, supplier, warehouse and other available categories;
  • Product profitability assessment by price;
  • Current back up stock margin estimation;
  • Analysis of indicators for order generation (analysis by product – price, cost, margin, logistics parameters, sales, stock balance, stock, overstock, payment, stock %);
  • Regular customer analysis;
  • Sales analysis;
  • Highly detailed dynamic LFL analysis, which determines the reasons for the growth and fall in sales (by number of customers, by average order value, by average SKU per customer);
  • Sales ratings by product, taking into account margin, working time, work regularity, number of regular customers, average order value by regular customers;
  • Baseline reports on products, customers, employees;
  • Automatic ordering – order calculation, taking into account the sales plans, logistics restrictions, stock balance, goods in transit for the selected period.

“The provided solutions allowed us to significantly speed up decision-making and make a qualitative leap in our daily work. As a result, we calculate and make decisions on an order much quicker, the service level has increased, and the number of suppliers per manager has multiplied. We have also expanded the product range without increasing personnel costs and accelerate the company's growth. The implementation cost paid off in a few months of operating the solutions”

Vitaly Vorobyov, Server Trading House General Director

"Generalskie kolbasy": perishable products forecasting

About the company

Generalskie kolbasy is one of the largest companies in the Volga Federal district of Russia. Over the years, the company has won many professional awards, earned the trust of partners, the respect of customers, and, most importantly, the love of millions of consumers. The company produces and sells a wide range of sausage products.  Today, the company's portfolio includes products of 3 brands: Generalskie kolbasy, Dym Dymych, Rossianka, traditional sausages, and meat delicacies. The company operates in 36 regions from the Crimea to the Urals.

Implementation effects

After implementing the forecasting system, the Generalskie kolbasy company received a powerful tool for calculating current sales forecasts on a daily basis, as well as for automatically issuing production orders, taking into account the stock balance, forecasts, goods in transit, and remaining shelf-life requirements imposed by retailers

In the Nоvo Forecast Enterprise system, the Generalskie kolbasy company's employees plan and agree on factors affecting the forecast accuracy. Employees of different departments are involved in a single management planning network: sales, marketing, logistics, production, and finance. 

"We work in a highly competitive market of perishable products, where the accuracy of the sales forecast and the speed of its calculating are crucial," said Vladimir Akimenko, Deputy Director General of Logistics of the Generalskie kolbasy company.

“We are sure that the Novo Forecast system will provide us with a sustainable competitive advantage and will allow us to optimize the company's work throughout the value-added chain. According to our estimates, the first year of operating the system will bring at least several dozens of millions of rubles."

Vladimir Akimenko, Deputy Director General of Logistics of the Generalskie kolbasy company.

Results

  • Shortened report processing time (reduced number of marketers/analysts);
  • Neutralized "human factor, calculation error";
  • Improved report visualization and informativeness;
  • Increased speed and quality of decision-making.

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